What percent of mutual funds beat the market?
Last year, 47% of actively managed open-end mutual funds and exchange-traded funds beat their benchmarks - a marked increase over the 43% hurdle rate in 2022.
Do mutual funds outperform the stock market? The study found that most actively managed mutual funds do worse than their benchmark index during most calendar years and over the long run. Notably, low-cost stock and bond index funds generally offer more predictable returns and lower costs than actively-managed funds.
Over the full year, a majority of actively managed funds underperformed their assigned benchmarks in most of our reported fund categories. In our largest and most closely watched comparison, 60% of all active large-cap U.S. equity funds underperformed the S&P 500.
Less than 10% of active large-cap fund managers have outperformed the S&P 500 over the last 15 years. The biggest drag on investment returns is unavoidable, but you can minimize it if you're smart. Here's what to look for when choosing a simple investment that can beat the Wall Street pros.
Research: 89% of fund managers fail to beat the market
According to this report, 88.99% of large-cap US funds have underperformed the S&P500 index over ten years. As a whole, 78–97% of actively managed stock funds failed to beat the indexes they were benchmarked against over ten years.
S&P Dow Jones Indices' scorecard compares the performance of actively-managed mutual funds to major indices. It found that over the course of one year, 51.08% of actively-managed mutual funds underperformed the S&P 500, and 48.92% of actively-managed funds outperformed the S&P 500.
Category | Average Return (%) | Maximum Return (%) |
---|---|---|
Equity: Large and Mid Cap | 42.28 | 61.87 |
Fund of Funds-Domestic-Equity | 34.85 | 61.21 |
Equity: ELSS | 38.55 | 60.25 |
Equity: Flexi Cap | 38.67 | 59.94 |
Under the final amendments, when a fund employs a derivatives strategy, the fund will generally be required to use the notional value to determine if 80% of its funds are invested in accordance with the focus its name suggests.
The Impact of Market Cycles
Markets move in cycles and so does Mutual Fund performance. A fund that excels in a bull market may not perform as well in a bear market. If you're chasing a fund based on its performance in a specific market phase, you might be entering at the wrong time.
The thing is that beating the market isn't just incredibly difficult. It's also incredibly dangerous. According to a 2023 Visual Capitalist study, 95% of large-cap actively managed funds have underperformed their benchmark over the past 20 years2.
Has anyone outperformed the S&P 500?
(NASDAQ:DXCM) and Medpace Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ:MEDP) are the only two healthcare sector companies that have made it onto our list of 13 stocks that outperform the S&P 500 every year for the last 5 years. The shares of DexCom, Inc.
Focused funds | 5-year-return (%) | Benchmark index (%) |
---|---|---|
360 ONE Focused Equity Fund | 22.21 | 17.61 |
Franklin India Focused Equity Fund | 18.03 | 17.45 |
HDFC Focused 30 Fund | 18.96 | 17.45 |
ICICI Prudential Focused Equity Fund | 19.04 | 17.61 |
Highly regarded economists have shown that a portfolio of randomly chosen stocks can perform as well as a carefully assembled one. Yes, you may be able to beat the market, but with investment fees, taxes, and human emotion working against you, you're more likely to do so through luck than skill.
So, if you had invested in Netflix ten years ago, you're likely feeling pretty good about your investment today. A $1000 investment made in March 2014 would be worth $9,728.72, or a gain of 872.87%, as of March 4, 2024, according to our calculations. This return excludes dividends but includes price appreciation.
Fund | 2023 performance (%) | 5yr performance (%) |
---|---|---|
MS INVF US Insight | 52.26 | 34.65 |
Sands Capital US Select Growth Fund | 51.3 | 76.97 |
Natixis Loomis Sayles US Growth Equity | 49.56 | 111.67 |
T. Rowe Price US Blue Chip Equity | 49.54 | 81.57 |
Over time, the odds of you beating the market only diminish. To prove this, let's look at an example: We saw from the data above that an investor has about a 75% chance of underperforming the market in any given year which means you have a 25% chance of beating the market in any given year.
I put my personal 401(k) and a lot of my mutual fund investing in four types of mutual funds: growth, growth and income, aggressive growth, and international. I personally spread mine in 25% of those four.
Generally, when you look at mutual fund performance over the long run, you can see a trend of actively-managed funds underperforming the S&P 500 index. A common statistic is that the S&P 500 outperforms 80% of mutual funds.
No. 1 on the list is the ProFunds Semiconductor UltraSector Fund, which yielded 29.21% over the past decade. In second place is the Direxion Monthly NASDAQ-100 Bull 1.75X Fund, with 28.16%. And the bronze medal goes to the Rydex NASDAQ-100 2x Strategy Fund, which yielded 26.58%.
The recent performance surge has lifted the category scorecard of healthcare funds, with an average return of 59% over a one-year period, a compounded annual growth rate (CAGR) of 18% over a three-year period, and 23% CAGR over a five-year period. This is as per the latest data from Value Research.
How much mutual fund returns in 10 years?
Fund Name | 5 Years Return | 10 Years Return |
---|---|---|
Quant Large and Mid Cap Fund (G) | 25.4% | 22.6% |
Motilal Oswal Midcap fund (G) | 26.3% | 22.5% |
HDFC Mid Cap Opportunities Fund (G) | 23.5% | 21.2% |
HDFC Small Cap Fund (G) | 22.7% | 21.1% |
In the category of market-linked securities, mutual funds are a relatively safe investment. There are risks involved but those can be ascertained by conducting proper due diligence.
(You must convert the rate of return to the monthly figure through dividing by 12). You also have n = 10 years or 120 months. FV = Rs 1,84,170. So, the future value of a SIP investment of Rs 1,000 per month for 10 years at an estimated rate of return of 8% is Rs 1,84,170.
If you invest Rs 1000 for 20 years , if we assume 12 % return , you would get Approx Rs 9.2 lakhs. Invested amount Rs 2.4 Lakh.
If you have a substantial amount to invest, it can be possible to make a living investing in dividend mutual funds. If you have that much discretionary capital on hand, however, you may be better served by diversifying your portfolio by investing in other securities.
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