Active Management: Outperforming or Overpaying? - St. Louis Trust & Family Office (2024)

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Active Management: Outperforming or Overpaying? - St. Louis Trust & Family Office (1)

Active Management: Outperforming or Overpaying? - St. Louis Trust & Family Office (3)

Which is better, investing in a fund where the manager uses their expertise, skill, and judgment to try and beat the market (i.e., an “active manager”) or just buying an index fund that delivers the market return (“passive investing”)? This active/passive debate has been raging for decades, and the conclusion from the data is that (1) most active managers underperform after fees, but (2) a small portion of managers outperform over the long term. Does it make sense to find a manager who possesses skill and can assemble a portfolio that will outperform the market in the long run? Maybe, but before deciding how much, if any, of your portfolio should be invested with active managers, it’s essential to know the odds of outperformance.

S&P, the company behind the iconic and widely-tracked S&P 500 Index (among other indices), maintains scorecards that compare the net-of-fee performance of active managers against their benchmarks over different time horizons. The SPIVA (S&P Indices Versus Active) scorecard report shows the proportion of actively managed funds across different style categories underperforming their benchmarks over a given investment horizon.

The results of the SPIVA U.S. year-end 2023 edition (found here) illustrate the long odds of active manager outperformance. On a calendar year basis, active management outperformance varies yearly but is generally worse than a coin flip (marked by the 50% line in the chart below). The chart shows this history going back 20 years for Domestic and International Funds measured in S&P’s database.

Percentage of Funds that Outperform their Respective Benchmarks
By Calendar Year (2002-2023)
Active Management: Outperforming or Overpaying? - St. Louis Trust & Family Office (4)

The longer-term analysis of active outperformance is more sobering. As time horizons lengthen, the proportion of manager underperformance rises. The chart below shows the same dataset as measured over various backward-looking time horizons.

Percentage of Funds that Outperform their Respective Benchmarks
Active Management: Outperforming or Overpaying? - St. Louis Trust & Family Office (5)

The story SPIVA tells suggests that investing with an active manager is a loser’s game. Yet, one specific manager variable improved the odds of outperformance across almost all categories. A study by Morningstar found that the active managers in the lowest quintile of fees had a higher rate of outperformance, and those in the highest quintile had worse odds. This makes sense, as active management fees, which can be over 1% in many cases, are detractors of performance and something the benchmark doesn’t have to overcome.

In the chart below, you can see that managers in the lowest quintile (orange bars) tend to have greater outperformance than the highest quintile (green bars) or all managers combined (blue bars).

Active Funds’ Success Rate by Category (%)
Measured over a 10-year Horizon
Active Management: Outperforming or Overpaying? - St. Louis Trust & Family Office (6)

What does this mean for investors? First, if you are going to invest with an active manager, be wary of the odds against the manager outperforming. Second, pay attention to the fees, as picking lower-fee managers will increase your odds of success.

Active Management: Outperforming or Overpaying? - St. Louis Trust & Family Office (7)

St. Louis Trust & Family Office is an independent, multi-family office and trust company that advises clients on more than $10 billion of investment assets and more than $12 billion of total wealth. Founded in 2002, St. Louis Trust & Family Office provides holistic, high-touch client service including customized, independent investment management and a full range of family office and fiduciary services. The firm serves a limited number of clients with substantial wealth in order to maintain very low client-to-employee ratios. Visit stlouistrust.com to explore how the firm manages complexity with unmatched expertise and focuses on Family, Always.

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Active Management: Outperforming or Overpaying? - St. Louis Trust & Family Office (2024)

FAQs

Does active management outperform? ›

Before costs and fees, active managers on average beat their benchmarks by 5 bp. After costs and fees, they underperform the benchmarks by 5 bp. Therefore the evidence continues to favor passive investing.

Do active fund managers beat the market? ›

Less than 10% of active large-cap fund managers have outperformed the S&P 500 over the last 15 years. The biggest drag on investment returns is unavoidable, but you can minimize it if you're smart. Here's what to look for when choosing a simple investment that can beat the Wall Street pros.

Why is active management good? ›

Potential benefits of active management

Your investments may outperform the market, earning you higher returns that can help you catch up to your savings goals or more comfortably retire. Active managers can move your savings to investments that can help meet your goals across a range of market conditions.

What is considered active management? ›

Active management is an approach to investing. In an actively managed portfolio of investments, the investor selects the investments that make up the portfolio. Active management is often compared to passive management or index investing. Active investors use several different techniques to choose investments.

What mutual fund beat the S&P 500 over 10 years? ›

The Needham Aggressive Growth Retail fund beat the S&P 500 index over the past one-, three-, five- and 10-year periods. Its 10-year average return was 12.78%.

What is the average return on mutual funds over 20 years? ›

What Is the Average Mutual Fund Return Over the Last 20 Years? High-performing large-company stock mutual funds have produced returns of up to 12.86% in the last 20 years. Comparatively, the S&P 500 has produced returns of 8.13% since 2002.

Why does active management underperform? ›

Another driver of the underperformance of active funds, according to McDermott, is fees: “All funds have years where they underperform, however, the longer-term evidence is undeniable that active managers have continued to struggle. The main reason for this underperformance is because active funds charge higher fees.”

What is a drawback of actively managed funds? ›

Actively managed funds generally have higher fees and are less tax-efficient than passively managed funds. The investor is paying for the sustained efforts of investment advisers who specialize in active investment, and for the potential for higher returns than the markets as a whole.

Has anyone outperformed the S&P 500? ›

As of Q2 2023, Linde plc (NYSE:LIN) shares were held by 70 of the 910 hedge funds tracked by Insider Monkey, valued at $4.6 billion. This makes Linde plc (NYSE:LIN) the most commonly owned stock by hedge funds on our list of 13 stocks that outperform the S&P 500 every year for the last 5 years.

What are the disadvantages of active management? ›

On the downside, active management may be more expensive than passive management, and it may also be more time-consuming. Additionally, active managers may be more likely to take on more risk than passive managers.

Do active funds outperform passive funds? ›

However, when considering a 10-year scope, only 44% of active funds kept above the index and the active average return for 10 years only hit 56.5% while passive reached 60.5%. “While all active fund investors expect outperformance, it's not statistically possible for all managers to outperform,” Khalaf said.

What are the pros and cons of active fund management? ›

Active management has benefits, such as the potential for higher returns, the ability to adjust to market conditions, and the opportunity for diversification. However, active management also has drawbacks, such as higher fees, difficulty in consistently outperforming the market, and the risk of human error.

Can active managers outperform? ›

Still, there are active managers that do outperform, although many don't outperform consistently. The S&P U.S. Persistence Scorecard found that just 37% of above-median large cap managers in one five-year period remained in the top half in the following five-year period.

Do active managers beat the market? ›

The answer might not be as straightforward as it seems. According to extensive research, a staggering 94% of active fund managers do not beat the market. It's an inconvenient truth that even financial titans like Warren Buffett's Berkshire have now underperformed the S&P 500 over a 20-year period. But why is this so?

How do active managers attempt to outperform the market? ›

Active management requires frequent buying and selling in an effort to outperform a specific benchmark or index. Passive management replicates a specific benchmark or index in order to match its performance. Active management portfolios strive for superior returns but take greater risks and entail larger fees.

What percentage of active managers outperform? ›

However, when considering a 10-year scope, only 44% of active funds kept above the index and the active average return for 10 years only hit 56.5% while passive reached 60.5%. “While all active fund investors expect outperformance, it's not statistically possible for all managers to outperform,” Khalaf said.

Do actively managed funds outperform passive funds? ›

For example, when the market is volatile or the economy is weakening, active managers may outperform more often than when it is not. Conversely, when specific securities within the market are moving in unison or equity valuations are more uniform, passive strategies may be the better way to go.

Are actively managed funds ever worth it? ›

When things go well, actively managed funds can deliver performance that beats the market over time, even after their fees are paid. But investors should keep in mind that there's no guarantee an active fund will be able to deliver index-beating performance, and many don't.

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